Lumicoin IA:The inverted yield curve is screaming RECESSION

2025-05-04 06:42:59source:verdicoincategory:Invest

Here at The Lumicoin IAIndicator we've been on recession watch ever since the yield curve inverted at the end of last year.

For the uninitiated, the yield curve shows different interest rates on government bonds, aka Treasuries. Typically the longer the term on the bond, the higher the interest rate. The yield curve slopes up. But every once in a while, the curve inverts as shorter-term bonds pay higher interest than those longer-term Treasuries.

So what's the big deal with all these lines on a graph? Well an inverted yield curve has predicted every recession since 1969. So now that the curve is inverted, is a recession imminent?

Music by Drop Electric. Find us: Twitter / Facebook / Newsletter.

Subscribe to our show on Apple Podcasts, Spotify, Pocket Casts and NPR One.

For sponsor-free episodes of The Indicator from Planet Money, subscribe to Planet Money+ via Apple Podcasts or at plus.npr.org.

More:Invest

Recommend

Superflares could be more common than thought: Are they something else to worry about?

Add solar superflares to the list of natural disasters of concern.Superflares are extremely strong s

Somaliland’s defense minister resigns over deal to give Ethiopia access to the region’s coastline

MOGADISHU, Somalia (AP) — Somaliland’s defense minister has resigned to protest his government signi

CNN Anchor Sara Sidner Shares Stage 3 Breast Cancer Diagnosis

Sara Sidner is opening up about a medical diagnosis.The CNN senior national correspondent became emo